MPL ID Season 16 will kick off on August 22, and almost every eye is fixed on ONIC Esports. Many analysts and fans have predicted ONIC to win MPL ID S16, judging from their roster quality, player experience, and achievements in recent seasons. However, behind this high expectation lies a risk that cannot be ignored.

ONIC Esports enters the season with the reputation of being the reigning kings. Their streak of titles in both MPL ID and international tournaments proves their consistency. Names like Kairi, Sanz, and Kiboy have long been symbols of ONIC’s strength in the Mobile Legends scene. It is no surprise that the public views them as the leading contender for the MPL ID S16 crown.

Yet, MPL ID history has shown that dominance on paper does not always translate into victory. Many great teams have stumbled due to overconfidence, failure to adapt to the meta, or internal issues that disrupted their momentum. This same fate could befall ONIC if they are not careful.

Heading into the new season, ONIC looks stable, but lofty expectations can turn into a mental burden. This is where the biggest risk lies: when everyone has already predicted ONIC to win MPL ID S16, their rivals will come with doubled motivation to take down the reigning champions.

ONIC Could Fail to Win MPL ID S16 Because of These Factors

1. Becoming Overconfident with the Strongest Roster

With a star-studded lineup, ONIC could be tempted to feel untouchable. Confidence is important, but when it turns into arrogance, it becomes a double-edged sword. A new season always brings meta changes, and if ONIC relies too heavily on individual brilliance without adjusting their strategies, the consequences could be fatal. Rivals in MPL ID S16 are undoubtedly studying every weakness they have. This could easily shatter the prediction of ONIC winning MPL ID S16.

2. Underperforming Mid Trio

Kiboy, Sanz, and Kairi have played together for multiple seasons and have won numerous titles. However, consistency in esports is never guaranteed. This trio will once again be ONIC’s main pillar, and even the slightest drop in performance can be exploited by opponents. Powerhouses like RRQ, EVOS, or Bigetron Alpha will likely have prepared ways to disrupt ONIC’s mid-to-jungle rotations. If this happens repeatedly, ONIC’s road to winning MPL ID S16 could be compromised from the very first weeks.

3. Skylar Fails to Shine, Savero Struggles to Fit In

Skylar’s arrival in the Gold Lane was expected to be a new strength for ONIC, but transitioning from his old team to ONIC’s system may not be smooth. If Skylar fails to deliver his best performance, the team’s burden will grow heavier. Similarly, Savero needs to find comfort in his role to contribute optimally. If both fail to gel with the core lineup, ONIC’s firepower could drop significantly, making the dream of winning MPL ID S16 more difficult.

In addition to these factors, there is also the looming threat of a mid-season patch update. ONIC is known for adapting quickly, but a drastic meta shift could cost them momentum. More prepared opponents will gladly seize that opportunity.

Mental fatigue is another real danger. ONIC has competed in numerous major tournaments throughout the year, and a packed schedule can affect focus and stamina. Without a well-balanced training and rest routine, their performance could decline at crucial moments.

Public expectations can also be a heavy burden. Every loss, no matter how small, will be magnified and turned into criticism. If not managed well, this pressure could erode the team’s confidence.

There’s also the underdog effect to consider. Teams with nothing to lose often play fearlessly against the favorites. They will go all out to beat ONIC, which can become mentally exhausting if it happens repeatedly.

Anti-ONIC strategies are bound to emerge. Every team in MPL ID S16 will analyze ONIC’s drafting patterns and prepare specific counters. Without continuous strategic adjustments, ONIC could become too predictable.

All these factors show that the road to ONIC winning MPL ID S16 is far from straightforward. It will take a combination of hard work, adaptation, and mental resilience to truly defend their title.

This season will ultimately be a major test for ONIC Esports. They already have the talent, but maintaining dominance is an entirely different challenge. With the threats of overconfidence, possible underperformance from their mid trio, and the need to integrate new players like Skylar and Savero, ONIC’s path to winning MPL ID S16 must be approached with full caution. Everything will be revealed when MPL ID Season 16 officially begins on August 22.

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