The regular season of MPL ID Season 16 had entered its most critical stage. Every team had fought to secure the best position possible to reach the playoffs. From the top contenders to those in the danger zone, the competition had tightened, and every match had carried immense weight in determining each team’s Playoff Scenario.

Heading into Week 8, nothing had been set in stone regarding which teams would advance to the upper bracket or fall short of the playoffs. Teams like ONIC and Bigetron by Vitality had been in comfortable positions, while the rest still needed to fight hard to avoid elimination.

This made Weeks 8 and 9 the most decisive stretch in MPL ID history. A single victory or defeat could drastically shift a team’s Playoff Scenario — turning upper bracket hopes into survival struggles in a matter of games.

With such intense competition across the board, let’s break down the Playoff Scenario for each MPL ID S16 team based on their recent performance and remaining opportunities.

Playoff Scenario and Final Regular Season Outlook for Each Team

Bigetron by Vitality
Bigetron had already secured their spot in the MPL ID S16 playoffs, but their mission was far from over. The Red Robot squad still chased the upper bracket to avoid starting from the lower rounds. With a 9-3 record, their chances were very high. The condition was simple: they needed to defeat DEWA United and ONIC in Week 8. If successful, they only needed Alter Ego to drop one match to lock in the upper bracket slot. In the best Playoff Scenario, BTR would join ONIC in the upper bracket this week.

EVOS
EVOS still had a slim chance to reach the upper bracket, though the path was difficult. Alberttt and his teammates had to defeat ONIC in Week 8 — something no team had achieved this season. Failure to do so would not only eliminate their upper bracket hopes but could also drag them dangerously close to the red zone.
To secure a safe Playoff Scenario, EVOS needed at least one win or a series where they could take a single game in their remaining matches. If they lost every series 0-2, but NAVI also dropped one more match, EVOS could still advance to the playoffs through tiebreaker conditions.

Alter Ego
Alter Ego found themselves at a crossroads. Their loss to DEWA in Week 7 had put their playoff position at risk. If Nino and his squad could sweep TLID and RRQ in Week 8, they would secure a playoff ticket and stay in contention for the upper bracket. However, if they stumbled, their Playoff Scenario could quickly turn into a fight for survival. Week 9 would be the ultimate test as they faced ONIC and Bigetron — two of the strongest teams in the league.

DEWA United Esports
DEWA United had shown tremendous form this season, yet their playoff safety was not guaranteed. With a 7-5 record, Qinn and his teammates still had paths toward either the upper bracket or the red zone. Their results against BTR and RRQ in Week 8 would define their fate. Two wins would seal their playoff spot, but two losses could make their Playoff Scenario precarious, especially if NAVI or RRQ picked up momentum.

NAVI
NAVI’s position remained fragile. With six wins, they only held a slim lead over RRQ and Geek. Their key to safety lay in the Week 8 showdown against Geek Fam. A victory would greatly improve their odds, while a loss could jeopardize everything. In the worst Playoff Scenario, NAVI could fall into the red zone if RRQ managed two wins and Geek continued their resurgence.

RRQ Hoshi
The King of Kings had faced their toughest season yet. For the first time in MPL history, RRQ risked missing the playoffs entirely. With four matches remaining, they needed to win them all to stay alive. If they defeated Alter Ego and DEWA in Week 8, RRQ’s Playoff Scenario would brighten significantly. However, another loss could crush their hopes and leave their fate hinging on the final Week 9 clash against NAVI.

Geek Fam
Geek Fam rediscovered their fighting spirit in Week 7 after a series of solid performances, but time was not on their side. With only three matches left, they needed to win all of them — against TLID, NAVI, and BTR — to stay in contention. One defeat could end their Playoff Scenario, especially if RRQ found a way to bounce back. Geek needed both consistency and a bit of luck to keep their playoff dream alive.

Team Liquid ID (TLID)
Unlike the other teams, TLID had already been mathematically eliminated from playoff contention. Their inconsistent performance throughout the season had left them too far behind in the standings. Therefore, TLID was not part of this Playoff Scenario discussion. However, they still played a crucial role as potential “spoilers,” facing teams that were still fighting for playoff qualification over the final two weeks.

Each team now had its own path. ONIC stood firm at the top, Bigetron chased certainty, Alter Ego and DEWA fought for stability, while EVOS, RRQ, NAVI, and Geek were locked in an all-out battle for survival.

Weeks 8 and 9 were no longer just about standings — they were about defining moments, legacies, and redemption arcs. Who would smile at the end, and who would see their season end early?

One thing was certain: the Playoff Scenario for MPL ID Season 16 had been one of the tightest and most unpredictable in league history — where every match truly decided a team’s destiny.